Warning signals often ignored by management
Most business failures give ample warning of impending financial doom. A business on the road to failure exhibits signs well in advance of its actual demise. These signs are not foolproof but they indicate something is wrong.
· Overtrading
· Margin erosion
· The big project
· High gearing
· Corporate changes to the business
· Problem borrowing
· Decline in service standards
· Under-capitalization
· Too much easy money
· History of continuing losses
· Financial Ratios
· Lack of cash flow forecasting
· Lack of financial information
· Creative Accounting
·
External
Economic growth
Reducing credit availability
Industry going through hard times
Investors reducing their stakes in the industry (falling share prices
and P/E ratios)
More competitors
Price cutting by competitors
New and cheaper products entering the market (new technology)
Industry adversely affected by new legislation
Internal
Shortage of cash
Increase in accounts payable. Some suppliers insisting on COD
Increase in accountants receivable
ROAM decreasing
No sales growth
Increase in employees absenteeism and staff turnover
Increase in customer complaints re quality, deliveries etc.
Losing customers
Continuously running out of stock (overstocked in some items but
under stocked in others)
Monthly management reports late/unreliable
Increasing expenses
Increased borrowings
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